Caza - Zgharta

A Direct Study in the Legislative Elections – 2000 –

The North Second Constituency

By : Paul B.M. Duwayhi

Here are summaries of the chapters of the book published in September 2001. The study deals with the elections in the Second North Constituency, it retraces the statistical history of elections back from 1960 till the year 2000. The summary of the book comes under a statistical aspect. The parts that are reviewed here are the parts related to the Caza of Zgharta Zawieh and focusing mostly on the candidates of the Caza. 

Chapter three: The Zawieh

Since 1953, the whole candidates for the seats of Caza Zgharta Zawieh were from the town of Zgharta. The political role of the citizens of Zawieh is very simply defined: to vote for candidates from the town of Zgharta. Political activities are denied to the Zawieh, the only rule that prevails is the "rule of the five families".

There are 49 town and village in Zgharta counting 44207 listed voters. For the sake of an objective study we divided the Zawieh into 4 geographical areas.

1-      the towns and villages on the northern end of Zawieh

2-      the muslim town and villages

3-      the villages of the plain

4-      the villages of the mountain side

The repartition of the listed voters (those among 21 years old) among these areas is defined in the graph below.

 

listed voters (above 21)

voters

Northern end villages

24.16%

35.85%

Muslim villages

14.01%

19.53%

Villages of the plain

24.05%

15.85%

Mountain side villages

37.78%

28.77%

Theoretically the northern end villages represent 24.16% of the registered in Zawieh but due to the high percentage of voting in this area, they effectively count  35.85% of the votes.

1 – Towns & villages of the northern end of Zawieh.

This area of study includes the followings: Kfardlakos, Rashiine, Aashashe, Ardeh, Harf Ardeh, Aalma, Beit Awkar, Beit Obeid, Bousit, Kefraya and Hraykis. Rashiine is the largest and Beit Obeid the smallest.

The evolution of the registered voters in this area and in the last four decades is shown in the table below.

 

1960

1972

1996

2000

Listed (over 21 years old)

3,658

5,120

9,938

10,681

Voters

2,447

3,052

5,157

5,728

% participation

63.40%

59.60%

51.90%

53.61%

The number of registered (above 21 years old) has increased in the four decades, by 2.77 times, which is more than the increase of the registered in the town of Zgharta (2 times).

The voting results for the Zgharta Zawieh candidates in that study area were as follows:

 

1996

 

2000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% Result Variation 96/2000

Registered Voters

9938

 

10,681

 

743

Voters

5157

 

5,728

 

571

Participation %

51.90%

 

49.42%

 

-2.38%

Candidates

Total votes

% of votes

Total votes

% of votes

% Results Variation 96/2000

Sleiman Frangieh

2857

55.40%

3,521

61.47%

6.07%

Nayla Moawad

2467

47.80%

2,710

47.31%

-0.49%

Stephane Douaihy

1713

33.20%

2,510

43.82%

10.62%

Salim Karam

1405

27.20%

1,747

30.50%

3.30%

Robert Boulos

1365

26.50%

594

10.37%

-16.13%

Kaysar Moawad

1758

34.10%

2,445

42.69%

8.59%

Youssef Douaihy

 

 

1,821

31.79%

 

Ziad Makari

 

 

564

9.85%

 

Samir Frangieh

528

10.20%

 

 

 

The two candidates (from Zgharta) that registered negative scores, in comparison with the elections of 1966, were Nayla Moawad with 0.49% down and Robert Boulos whose score was 16.13% lower of that of 1966.

Rashiine

It is the town with the highest rate of voting in the whole district. In the last elections of 2000, of the 2778 registered 1683 voted and the partipation rate was 60.58%.

 

# of votes year 2000

% of total votes year 2000

% Result Variation 96/2000

Sleiman Frangieh

977

58.05%

8.05%

Stephane Douaihy

793

47.12%

21.90%

Kaysar Moawad

687

40.82%

6.31%

Nayla Moawad

790

46.94%

-3.63%

Salim Karam

501

29.77%

10.74%

Youssef Douaihy

484

28.76%

 

Robert Boulos

293

17.41%

-6.86%

Ziad Makari

103

6.12%

 

Stephane Douaihy was the one who got the highest increase in his score by 21.90% compared to that of 1996.

Kfardlakos

Of the 1209 registered voters, 500 did participate (41.4%). This participation rate is the lowest in that area of study. Most of the candidates had scores higher then those of 1996. Sleiman Frangieh's score was 8.14% higher, Stephane Douaihy 14.16% higher, Kaysar Moawad 10.67% higher, Nayla Moawad 0.49% higher, while on the other hand the score of Robert Boulos was 12.61% down.

Aashashe

Of the 1113 registered voters, 489 expressed themselves. The voting rate was 43.9% and the scores were as follows:

 

Year 1996

Year 2000

 

 

% of total votes

% of total votes

% Result Variation 96/2000

Sleiman Frangieh

64.20%

56.90%

-7.30%

Nayla Moawad

60.70%

53.20%

-7.50%

Stephane Douaihy

34.00%

38.70%

4.70%

Salim Karam

24.70%

37.80%

13.10%

Robert Boulos

15.90%

3.68%

-12.20%

Kaysar Moawad

41.30%

42.70%

1.40%

Youssef Douaihy

 

27.00%

 

Ziad Makari

 

22.10%

 

We may notice the score of Ziad Makari which is a good one for a beginner.

Ardeh

The second largest in that area of study with 1793 registered voters, 952 expressed themselves. The voting rate was 53.10%.

 

1996

 

2000

 

 

 

 

 

 

% Result Variation 96/2000

Listed Voters

1711

 

1793

 

 

Voters

827

 

952

 

 

Participation %

48.33%

 

53.10%

 

4.77%

Candidates

Total votes

% of votes

Total votes

% of votes

% Results Variation 96/2000

Sleiman Frangieh

409

49.46%

598

62.82%

13.36%

Nayla Moawad

363

43.89%

403

42.33%

-1.56%

Stephane Douaihy

265

32.04%

444

46.64%

14.60%

Salim Karam

338

40.87%

317

33.30%

-7.57%

Robert Boulos

306

37.00%